I think its the central problem that Gen Con is facing. How do you have a safe convention knowing that there will be people who complain no matter what is put into place, as well as those that will find a way to fake through whatever is put into place. I'm sure the last thing they want is to put a mask mandate into place only to have to police people who refuse to wear them due to their inability to think of others.
I think a big data point is going to be the NCAA tourney next month. 64 teams, all of the coaches, players, staff, families so we will see a nice large group of people. I saw that they are allowing 25% capacity at the games so you will see people seated in close proximity. if that tourney can go off and there is no "outbreak" or other major issue I believe that will be a huge step in securing a normal timeline and running of Gen Con.
lets all cross our dice rolling fingers that next month sees a continuation of decreasing numbers across the board and the first kind of big gathering go off relatively cleanly.
It will also show if the city itself can handle at least 25% capacity needs for bathrooms, food, clean hotel rooms, transit, etc in its current state...
If we don't get a "Gencon's a go" email before the tourney, I gotta think, if the 1st week of the tourney goes well, we'll get one by Final Four weekend.
I am hopeful though, i think its really only masks, social distancing and such being mandated obviously along with the capacity limits. Hopefully if there is Capacity limits gen con limits the badge sales to the capacity and doesnt allow tons of sales with a waiting line to get into the hall. Of course for all we know the number of people already holding 2021 badges may exceed the capacity limit that would be enforced.
I have to think many of those holding 2021 badges may still go for a refund or a rollover, even for this year, so I think even with capacity limits, there will be badge sales.
I mean, probably most international folks will have to cancel or roll b/c the last thing to get back up to normal speed will probably be international travel (see the issues cruise ships are having now). And I don't think many will take the risk that the "closed" or "limited" borders will be ended in time.
Didn't know if I'd be attending Evo or Gen Con in 2021 so I didn't roll over my badge. Seeing that Evo hasn't updated its Twitter account or website since the end of June 2020 I think it's safe to say it'll be Gen Con (if I can, given the point in the quoted post).
Curiously, on the ICCLOS website, I noticed that Gen Con doesn't appear. Starting to wonder if it really could push. I'd think that all parties want as much attendance as possible just for the economic boost. A 45-60 day. Yes, there is the Lucas Field dynamic, but that could be worked around easy enough.
Some other good news came out today.
1. Pfizer announced 200 million more doses will be shipped in May, 2 months early. 2. Gov. Holcomb signed a bill that protects businesses from civil liability, so long as they are compliant with CDC guidelines. 3. The Covid numbers in Indiana have been falling consistently for the past 6 weeks. Indiana's positivity rate is at 4.4%.
Add in the news about the NCAA attendance capacity, and all of these things are good things for a physical Gen Con this year.
For those of you talking about rollovers...
don't forget the GM's who rely on running events to get their badge. (Like me and my family) those were never issued.
The current outlook for vaccine supplies (source):
Yeah, if it's on, my spouse is planning to GM, and we are normal Origins GMs/attendees (who can't go there b/c of the move to fall), so we also don't have Gencon badges yet.
But again, between international folks possibly having to sit out (for the reasons above), and fewer sales in 2020 (and then even fewer rolled over), I have to think they'll have the ability for some sales in a possible reduced capacity CON (and it may not need to be reduced much, or any - by August, we could see masks and sanitizer and spacing without capacity reductions or with 75% capacity, or even fewer restrictions, etc), even if it's only for GMs and their families.
PS - If it's on, we'll bring the ICONS supers RPG fun for adults and tweens/teens to GENCON:). These always 100%-original runs have happened at Origins for 6+ years and my spouse has GM'ed over a decade of supers RPGs at Origins, and his runs are beloved by kids and adults. He is very excited to finally hit his bucket list event of Gencon (take the lemon of Origins moving and make lemonade in Indy:)...if it's allowed to happen this year:)...
Dice Tower east was cancelled today, was supposed to happen first week of July. Tom did cite planning concerns as a factor in needing to cancel this early. Makes me slightly worried as Gen Con is what 20x the size of that? guess we got another data point.
Gencon could be much different, even at 25-30k regarding profitability.
Something to consider...even if Gen Con itself puts policies into place to protect us attendees, surrounding businesses might not have the same policies. If you are high risk, not vaccinated, cannot/willnot wear a mask, or don't want to follow whatever policies Gen Con puts into place regardless of where you are in Indy, then you probably should not attend. Policies only work if everyone abides by them. I look forward to seeing what policies Gen Con puts into place then will decide if I am willing to abide by them and therefore whether or not I should go.
But I would be OK with a smaller convention this year. Even a decreased attendance will help businesses in downtown Indy. And it might feel like the old days in Milwaukee, when you didn't feel a mad crush of people in every aisle.
All I ask is that Gencon just sticks to the guidelines set forth by the state, and nothing more. If masks are not mandated by that point, don't make them mandated. Please don't go above and beyond what is required by the law and/or CDC. People can go above and beyond themselves should they choose to. My buddies and I already have our trip booked for Gencon, so fingers crossed it happens.